BUY NOW: Top five offenses to invest dynasty shares by: GN Godfather @GNFF_Godfather
Which NFL offense do you want to invest in? Do you want to double stack, triple stack or even quadruple stack players from one team? Or maybe you want to diversify and combine certain players from these explosive offenses. Here are the top five offenses I’d bet on to light up scoreboards as you head into a dynasty start-up draft.
1. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS – 2018 STATS: 425.6 YDS/G (1ST) 35.3 PPG (1ST)
BLUE-CHIP BUY: PATRICK MAHOMES/QB, TRAVIS KELCE/TE – Imagine getting the top-ranked QB and TE as a tandem. You’ll most likely have to use your first and second round pick on them in a start-up draft but the pay off should be handsome. It’s unlikely Mahomes tops his MVP season of 5,097 yards and 50 touchdowns but let’s remember he achieved that in his first year as the Chiefs starter. He should continue to flourish in Andy Reid’s system. Kelce produced a career-best 103 receptions, 1,336 yards and ten touchdowns with Mahomes as his quarterback. With Tyreek Hill’s future a bit hazy, Kelce is the one reliable target for Mahomes.
STOCK RISING: DAMIEN WILLIAMS/RB – Williams is rising up boards, taking the lead role in Andy Reid’s backfield. According to Fantasy Pros, he’s gone as high as 12th overall. Williams earned a PFF grade of 80.9 in 2018, ranked as the 15th best RB. Chiefs GM Brett Veach has said it’s Williams’ job to lose.
HIGH RISK/HIGH REWARD: TYREEK HILL/WR – Off the field issues led to his suspension from team activities. You know what he can do but you have to take the gamble to cash out. Hill’s current ADP per Fantasy Pros is 58th overall.
LONG-TERM GROWTH: MECOLE HARDMAN/WR – If you’re patient, this speed demon can reap rewards down the line. Hardman averaged 16 yards per catch during his career at Georgia. There will be some growing pains but why not draft Hardman if he’s available in the eighth round.
PENNY STOCK FLIERS: DARWIN THOMPSON/RB, JAMES WILLIAMS/RB – Make your rookie dart throws count. In 2018, Thompson finished third in forced missed tackles per carry (0.32) according to PFF. As for Williams, he caught 202 balls on 229 targets in his career at Washington State. One of these rookies could emerge in this backfield.
2. LOS ANGELES RAMS – 2018 STATS: 421.1 YDS/G (2ND) 32.9 PPG (2ND)
BLUE CHIP BUY: TODD GURLEY/RB – The LA “Warhorse” is still a blue chip RB with a current ADP of sixth overall. Gurley is averaging 1,962 scrimmage yards and 20 touchdowns a season in Sean McVay’s offense. You get what you pay for. But be warned. The mileage is only increasing. The knee arthritis is a very real concern for the Rams.
STOCK RISING: JARED GOFF/QB, BRANDIN COOKS/WR – As Gurley takes on more wear and tear, you could invest more shares in the Rams pass game. Goff enter his fourth year as the franchise QB and his numbers are only improving. His main target is Brandin Cooks who will only turn 26 in September. Cooks put up 80/1204/5 in his first full season with Goff. And maybe some forget that Goff’s TD/INT ratio is 60/19 over two years in McVay’s offense.
LONG-TERM GROWTH: DARRELL HENDERSON/RB – The rookie dominated at Memphis with Workhorse Consumption Rating of 30%, eating up 2,204 scrimmage yards. The Rams get their change of pace back that can eventually take over if Gurley’s knees continue to detioriate. Henderson’s current ADP is #161 (Fantasy Pros) in start-ups.
PENNY STOCK FLIERS: GERALD EVERETT/TE – Don’t forget about Everett just yet. Why not stash an ultra-athletic tight end who graded out as the fifth-best player at his position (76.9) according to PFF.
3. CLEVELAND BROWNS – 2018 STATS: 368.8 YDS/G (13) 22.4 PPG (20)
BLUE CHIP BUY: ODELL BECKHAM JR./WR, BAKER MAYFIELD/QB – OBJ is a dawg, literally and figuratively with a PFF grade of 90.0 and an upgrade at QB. Baker Mayfield is being ranked as high as second at his position in dynasty (Fantasy Pros). He’s got his whole career ahead of him and if you can snag both OBJ and Baker in the first two rounds, that’s a powerful tandem.
STOCK RISING: NICK CHUBB/RB – Chubb emerged as the workhorse back in Cleveland but I don’t see him as a first round pick just yet. There’s a solid group of more established RBs in front of him in the rankings. His current ADP is #18 but could rise into the summer. Chubb nearly rushed for 1,000 yards and started just nine games. With vast weapons around him in the pass game, Chubb won’t see loaded boxes.
HIGH RISK/HIGH REWARD: KAREEM HUNT/RB – An elite handcuff to Chubb but a red flag. Hunt will face a suspension of eight weeks but his current ADP is #86. Take the gamble and he may be able to help your playoff push if Chubb struggles or goes down with injury.
LONG-TERM GROWTH: DAVID NJOKU/TE, ANTONIO CALLAWAY/WR – Njoku enters his third year, a crucial point for tight ends and he should surpass his 56/639/4 receiving line from 2018. Buy and hold. As for Callaway, I see him taking over for Landry down the line. He’s a talented 22-year-old and you can draft him in the 17th round.
4. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS – 2018 TEAM STATS: 386.2 YDS/G (7) 27.1 PPG (5)
BLUE CHIP BUY: ANDREW LUCK/QB, T.Y. HILTON/WR – It’s a well known tandem with explosiveness. Luck to Hilton. Right now, Andrew Luck is arguably the best quarterback in the league, fantasy wise next to Patrick Mahomes. PFF gave Luck an overall grade of 91.2 (3rd) which is elite and his current ADP is #53. It sounds like you can wait but I forecast Luck being the second QB drafted. As for his top target, Hilton earned the ninth-best receiving grade by PFF (87.7) and is hovering on the outskirts of the top ten in WR ADP. This tandem is not going anywhere soon and not cheap to draft.
STOCK RISING: MARLON MACK/RB – Marlon is starvin’ for more carries. In 12 games played, the Colts gave Mack 25 carries or more three times. When he got that type of workload, he averaged 130 yards on the ground and 1.6 touchdowns. Impressively, he put up 908 rushing yards in just ten starts. Mack’s current ADP (Fantasy Pros) is currently #31 and could keep rising.
LONG-TERM GROWTH: PARRIS CAMPBELL/WR – Head coach Frank Reich is in love with the Campbell pick and has said the Colts offense “isn’t fair” with the rookie WR in the fold. Campbell’s 40-yard dash, speed score and burst score are each at least 97th percentile. He should be a lethal threat in the slot going down the seam and underneath coverage for Andrew Luck.
PENNY STOCK FLIERS: ASHTON DULIN/WR – Dulin earned a 60% dominator rating (Player Profiler) but he did this at Malone University. If he can compete with NFL talent, the late round dart throw could pay off if you can afford to stash him.
5. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS – 2018 TEAM STATS: 415.5 YDS/G (5) 24.8 PPG (12)
BLUE CHIP BUY: MIKE EVANS/WR – Somehow while playing with Ryan Fitzpatrick and James Winston, Evans produced 1,524 receiving yards – a career best. Evans looks to be a lock in the late first round, even in the deeper leagues especially with the buzz around Bruce Arians taking over the Bucs.
STOCK RISING: JAMEIS WINSTON/QB, BRESHAD PERRIMAN/WR – Don’t be surprised if Winston leads the league in passing attempts. The Bucs defense is not intimidating and the Bucs ground game has much to prove. It’s a make or break year for Winston and he could respond with the help of Arians. Some reports of chemistry growing between Perriman and Winston on the field may push the former first round receiver’s stock up slowly but surely as training camp rolls around. Although a small sample size of 16 receptions, Perriman averaged 21 yards a catch last season in Cleveland, earning a 71.4 PFF grade.
LONG-TERM GROWTH: O.J. HOWARD/TE, CHRIS GODWIN/WR – If Howard can stay healthy, he’s capable of being a top five tight end but how will Arians use him in his offense which hasn’t produced a legitimate tight end for fantasy purposes. Howard will reward the patient FF GM. Now Godwin did rank in the top 25 of PFF receivers and could very well emerge as a legit WR2 in 2019 but we can’t ignore Evans and the inconsistent Winston so with that said, be cautious and don’t reach.
PENNY STOCK FLIERS: JUSTIN WATSON/WR – The second-year wideout is now right behind Evans and Godwin on the depth chart. His workout metrics are exceptional and right now he’s being undrafted. Simple stash and wait.
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